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Waiting For The Next Bull Market To Begin

June 24, 2025

My key focus on this chart is the Coppock Curve. As you can see, there is nothing necessarily bearish about a falling Coppock, but the vintage times in share markets are when Coppock is climbing. The great buy signals occur when Coppock turns higher from a negative position.

The rest of the chart looks positive, but the excitement will begin when this and many other Coppock Curves turn higher. For this reason, we are still in waiting mode, waiting for the next bull market to kick higher.

This is one reason why I am not in a great rush to make many new recommendations beyond my Dirty Dozen. There will be plenty of time to look for exciting new names when we have (a) a real bull market and (b) some exciting IPOs.

QQQ3 tells a similar story. No need to get excited yet, but it looks promising.

In the background, plenty is going on after the US attack on Iran. As a result of 7 October, Iran finds itself broke, friendless and at war with the two most devastating military operations on the planet, Israel and the US. Some people in Iran might be questioning the policies being followed by the ageing cleric who is the supreme leader.

The logic of what’s happening is stage one, degrade Iran’s military until it virtually ceases to exist and (b) regime change. A pro-Western Iran would be an incredible boon to the world and its people. What a miraculous outcome that would be.

It might also make it easier to achieve a satisfactory outcome for the Palestinian people suffering so much in Gaza, for whom both Hamas and Iran have been a disaster.

Trump feels like a loose cannon and is hated by all the bien-pensants, but I see method in his madness. Global trade is wildly unbalanced and anything but fair, with China, Europe and other countries imposing outrageous barriers to true free trade, so let’s give them a massive kick up the backside and see if they can mend their ways.

Iran and its proxy militias, Hamas, Hezbollah and Houthi, have been an evil presence for years like Sauron and the Orcs in Middle Earth, so let’s deal with the problem at the source. No doubt it involves risk, but there has never been a better opportunity to achieve a result than now.

I was relatively neutral until Hamas raped and slaughtered those Israeli girls at a pop festival on 7 October. That is an act so evil that I can never forgive. Can we contemplate, even for a second, such unspeakable people having a nuclear capability anywhere in the background? No way!

They tweaked the tail of the tiger; now they must reap the whirlwind. Trump and the Israelis must stick to their guns until they have achieved their war aims.

If they do, there may be other benefits. What a demonstration to the bad guys of what happens when the good guys finally put on their holsters, load their 45s and head out for High Noon.

Strategy – $-Cost Averaging On Steroids

I have thought of a crazy, exciting way of investing. Open that spread betting account if you do not already have one. Learn how to use it. A bet of 1 is equivalent to buying 100 shares, 0.2 is equivalent to 20, and so on. Otherwise, spread bets work much like buying CFDs or actual shares, even including receiving dividends if there are any.

The great benefit is that all gains are tax-free.

Let’s take a share I like – Microsoft, where the minimum bet is 0.01 or just one share. The equity cost of buying one share is around £70.

This is what I suggest you do. Invest £100 for £500 worth of shares (roughly 1.5 shares at the present price or a spread bet of 0.015). Do this every day, whether the price goes up or down. When you have doubled your money, which will happen when the share price climbs 20pc from your average buying price, sell the lot and start again.

As long as Microsoft remains in a secular uptrend with great fundamentals, you can do this forever. We shall see, but right now it seems like a good way to make a fortune.

If you want more excitement, don’t we all, choose a more volatile share in a more dramatic uptrend. There are plenty of candidates in the Dirty Dozen. The only problem is that the minimum bet may be larger.

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